-states/2020-04-15/pandemic-wont-make-china-worlds-leader; Colin H. Kahl and
Ariana Berengaut, “Aftershocks: The Coronavirus Pandemic and the New World
Disorder,” War on the Rocks, April 10, 2020, http://warontherocks.com/2020/04
/aftershocks-the-coronavirus-pandemic-and-the-new-world-disorder; Amitav
Acharya, “How Coronavirus May Reshape the World Order,” National Interest, April
18, 2020, http://nationalinterest.org/feature/how-coronavirus-may-reshape-world
-order-145972; Salvatore Babones, “Don’t Bash Globalization—It Will Rescue Our
Economies After the Pandemic,” Foreign Policy, April 25, 2020, http://foreignpolicy
.com/2020/04/25/globalization-economic-recovery-coronavirus-pandemic; Nicholas
Eberstadt, “The ‘New Normal’: Thoughts About the Shape of Things to Come in the
Post-Pandemic World,” National Bureau of Asian Research, April 18, 2020, http://
nbr.org/publication/the-new-normal-thoughts-about-the-shape-of-things-to-come-in
-the-post-pandemic-world; Neil Irwin, “It’s the End of the World Economy as We
Know It,” New York Times, April 16, 2020, http://nytimes.com/2020/04/16/upshot
/world-economy-restructuring-coronavirus.html; and Minxin Pei, “China’s Coming
Upheaval: Competition, the Coronavirus, and the Weakness of Xi Jinping,” Foreign
Aairs, May/June 2020, http://foreignaairs.com/articles/united-states/2020-04-03
/chinas-coming-upheaval.
7. See John M. Barry, The Great Influenza: The Story of the Deadliest Pandemic in History
(New York: Penguin Books, 2005); and Laura Spinney, Pale Rider: The Spanish Flu of
1918 and How It Changed the World (New York: Public Aairs, 2017).
8. Richard Haass, “A Cold War With China Would Be a Mistake,” Wall Street Journal,
May 7, 2020, http://wsj.com/articles/dont-start-a-new-cold-war-with-china
-11588860761; Javed Ali and A’ndre Gonawela, “Dueling COVID-19 Blame
Narratives Deepen US-China Rift,” Hill, April 23, 2020, http://thehill.com/opinion
/national-security/494133-dueling-covid-19-blame-narratives-deepen-us-china-rift;
Finbarr Bermingham and Cissy Zhou, “Coronavirus: China and US in ‘New Cold War’
as Relations Hit Lowest Point in ‘More Than 40 Years’, Spurred on By Pandemic,” South
China Morning Post, May 5, 2020, http://scmp.com/economy/china-economy
/article/3082968/coronavirus-china-us-new-cold-war-relations-hit-lowest-point;
Michael Crowley, Edward Wong, and Lara Jakes, “Coronavirus Drives the U.S. and
China Deeper Into Global Power Struggle,” New York Times, March 22, 2020, http://
nytimes.com/2020/03/22/us/politics/coronavirus-us-china.html; and Benjamin
Wilhelm, “The Coronavirus Pandemic Is Pushing U.S.-China Relations to New Lows,”
World Politics Review, May 6, 2020, http://worldpoliticsreview.com/trend-lines/28740
/the-coronavirus-pandemic-is-pushing-u-s-china-relations-to-new-lows.
9. We do not use the term cold war regarding U.S.-China relations because we believe
that competition is so dierent in character from that between the United States and
the Soviet Union.
10. This did not mean that everywhere there was peace on earth. In this decade there was
violence and upheaval in Somalia, Haiti, Rwanda, the Balkans, and the U.S. war with
Iraq. Nevertheless, none of these episodes caused a crisis between the great powers.
11. T. S. Eliot, “Journey of the Magi,” Ariel Poems (London: Faber and Faber, 2014).
12. For example, see Samuel Charap and Jeremy Shapiro, “Consequences of a New Cold
War,” Survival 57, no. 2 (April–May 2015): 37–46; Michael J. Boyle, “The Coming
Illiberal Order,” Survival 58, no. 2 (April–May 2016): 35–66; and Emile Simpson,